New updates from the US model indicate the possibility of a tropical depression forming in the Arabian Sea.

Arab Weather - The latest updates from the American Global Forecast System (GFS) numerical model show continued indications of the potential development of a tropical system in the Arabian Sea during the last third of October 2025, with general weather conditions in the region remaining relatively favorable for the formation of tropical systems.

According to current data, the Arabian Sea region is expected to witness a significant weakening of the humid monsoon winds and an increase in surface water temperatures (SSTs), factors that support the development of tropical depressions.

Although the exact details of the path and severity of the condition are still unclear, the continued numerical models indicating this weather system reinforce the importance of close monitoring of weather developments over the coming days.

It's worth noting that October is an active transitional period in the Arabian Sea, during which the likelihood of tropical conditions forming increases before the cyclone season winds down in the second half of autumn.