Corona affected the weather forecast

2020-03-29 2020-03-29T19:18:26Z
لؤي خالد ناصر الدين
لؤي خالد ناصر الدين
مُدون في طقس العرب
  • Corona affected the weather forecast
  • Corona affected the weather forecast
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Corona's effect on weather!

# Report 1: - Reduced models accuracy and scattering of papers: -

Since the appearance of Virus Corona, we have noticed the beginning of the decline of models gradually, from the accuracy of expectations, even in the previous case, each model was singing on its nights.

Several days ago, a massive report from #ECMWF was published on a decline in the accuracy of forecasts.

Everyone knows that the satellites in the first degree and the sensors responsible for the weather forecast, but also flights are exploring, and through which information is sent to the models, which reduced the rate of expectation of the models to 65 percent, and from the picture it is shown that the movement of planes in Europe and towards the Atlantic Ocean decreased significantly, What led to an error rate (margin) is not simple in the expectations until two days.

The second image indicates an increase in the ratio of 9/10 as an increase in the fallacy of models and their inability to simulate the movement of winds, especially that is responsible for the movement of atmospheric depressions and elevations.

And not to mention the rejection of many of the pictures because of the poor quality in the pictures and not to simulate them.

For this reason, it is expected that the level of the models will continue to decline until the coming days, and it is expected that they will get worse, until they reach levels greater than that due to the progress in the levels of corona risk to the countries of Europe.

God is the guardian of success, another report, God willing, soon
Be waiting friends

# And God Almighty always knows best
Don't forget to follow my account: - Loay Khaled Naserel Deen

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