It is natural for errors to occur in weather forecasting, what is weather forecasting and what kinds of errors occur

Arab Weather - The science of weather prediction is one of the broad sciences in the study of the atmosphere, weather forecasting, the study of weather variables and their analysis to arrive at results in the form of weather summaries that are broadcast to the public in the form of weather bulletins which determine the general human activities according to the expected weather condition and make mistakes in some Sometimes for reasons that will be identified during the next report.

First, what is the weather forecast ..?

It is a science that searches in the study of weather conditions through an in-depth study of the atmospheric systems and the behavior of atmospheric variables such as temperature, humidity, winds, etc., for a certain period of time extending from hours to days and maybe months. Weather prediction science is based on probabilities, it is not a deterministic science because the whole science is based on possibilities that may You may be disappointed.

It is natural that errors occur in the science of weather forecasting, so what types of errors and how do they occur ..?

The science of weather forecasts is based on probabilities and analyzes, and sometimes errors may occur in something; temperature, rain, or any weather variable is analyzed until the final summary is reached, which is presented to the public, but errors are more frequent in the winter than in the rest of the seasons due to the increase in weather variables Which is analyzed and studied doubly for the summer season, and the errors in weather forecasts are divided into two types:

Errors of numerical models.

Computer simulations and maps called numerical models are dealt with through which the weather systems are analyzed and studied, and those models are based on huge databases in global centers, the most famous of which is the European Center "ECMWF". Data collection takes place within those centers through several things such as sending a weather balloon or through Satellites and distributed meteorological stations collect this data and apply in the form of numerical aerial maps, and that data passes through a series of huge and complex calculations made through supercomputers and there may be some error in the calculation process or in the input, which is reflected in the output of the models. The predictor, and here is the majority of weather forecast errors, which are difficult to detect until late after the impact of the cases on the ground.

• Human errors..

Human errors are one of the forms of weather forecast errors, such as that the weather forecaster makes a mistake in studying weather variables or adopting only one weather forecast model and not comparing the outputs with the rest of the operating models until the closest output is reached and the closest result is approved in an attempt to avoid errors, and to reach the closest result, 3 models must be studied. A numerical one or more, and the adoption of a greater ratio of outputs to avoid errors.

Arab weather enjoys the most accurate weather forecasts in the Arab world.

The Arab Weather Regional Center has a specialized and highly qualified weather forecast cadre.Arab Weather is characterized by the most accurate weather forecasts in the Arab world, and the Arab Weather Company increases the accuracy of numerical models and develops them internally so that errors are avoided by a greater rate than before. However, it is not possible. Errors are completely avoided, but they can be minimized to the point that if they occur, their impact is sometimes not tangible, as the company at this time further develops numerical models through a team specializing in databases and all this until the information reaches the follower with the highest possible accuracy rate, and this makes the Arab Weather Center the first Always in the field of providing meteorological information with high accuracy to its visitors and customers, the team is also trained on a permanent basis, and the company is provided with the latest technologies in the field of weather monitoring and forecasting.