Jordan: The countdown to autumn has begun. Will the Kingdom be affected by early rains?

Arab Weather - According to the meteorological calendar, autumn begins on September 1, leaving just 10 days until the meteorological start of autumn, which is scheduled to begin meteorologically on September 1, 2025. As this date approaches, many are wondering about the possibility of changes in weather conditions, such as lower temperatures and increased chances of rain across various regions of the Kingdom.

Meteorologists at the Arab Weather Center indicated that the onset of meteorological autumn does not herald rapid and sudden changes in the weather. Forecasts indicate that temperatures will remain at summer levels, with normal to relatively hot summer weather across various regions during the remainder of August and until early September.

August may end with normal summer weather and temperatures around or above average.

Arab Weather experts said that the weather maps issued this morning do not indicate any significant changes in the weather conditions during the remainder of August. Forecasts indicate that the weather will remain normal to relatively hot in various regions, with temperatures around slightly higher than their usual rates. Meanwhile, the weather will remain hot to extremely hot in the Jordan Valley, the Dead Sea, and Aqaba, in addition to the Badia regions.

Weather forecasters say that indicators for the intermediate period and the beginning of September do not yet indicate the possibility of rainfall in the Kingdom or the formation of autumnal conditions. However, these forecasts are considered to be remote, low-resolution, and highly variable. We will update you with the latest weather forecasts as soon as they are released.

When does the rainy season officially start in Jordan?

The rainy season in Jordan officially begins around mid-October, with the kingdom gradually becoming more susceptible to the effects of autumnal low pressure systems coming from the Mediterranean. This period is characterized by a gradual drop in temperatures and an increased likelihood of cumulus cloud formation, leading to rainfall of varying intensity, sometimes heavy.

The rainy season typically extends until the end of May, with peak rainfall occurring between January and February, covering most regions. Seasonal climate factors, such as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the effects of El Niño/La Niña, also play a role in determining the intensity and geographic distribution of rainfall from one season to the next.

The transitional period between summer and autumn is characterized by frequent atmospheric and temperature fluctuations, which are evident and tangible during two close periods. This is when the conflict between air masses with different characteristics begins. Cooler air masses begin arriving in the eastern Mediterranean via the European continent, while hot air masses remain concentrated over North Africa and the Arabian Peninsula, leading to increased chances of temperature fluctuations.

And God knows best.