Under Monitoring: Numerical models predict the possibility of a tropical depression forming in the Arabian Sea next week.

2025-05-20 2025-05-20T10:11:33Z
هشام جمال
هشام جمال
كاتب مُحتوى جوّي

Arab Weather - The outputs of several global numerical models, including the European numerical model enhanced with artificial intelligence techniques, indicate the possibility of a tropical depression forming in the eastern Arabian Sea during the coming week. This coincides with the Arabian Sea entering its first monsoon disturbance period, which typically extends through May and June and is known to precede the onset of monsoon activity in the region.

Thunderstorms are expected to begin forming in the Arabian Sea near India starting this weekend. Some computer models, particularly the European model, predict that this tropical disturbance in the Arabian Sea will develop into the first tropical depression of the season next week.

50% chance of tropical depression forming in the Arabian Sea next week

Regarding the potential tropical system, experts at the Arabia Weather Center confirmed that the probability of its formation is classified as medium, reaching approximately 50%. This probability is reinforced by the agreement of some other numerical models with the European model in indicating this tropical system, such as the German model.

However, the timeframe is still relatively distant, coupled with the complex nature of tropical systems, which makes it too early to make a final judgment about the formation and trajectory of the event. We at the Arab Weather Center encourage you to follow the weather updates on the Arab Weather app.

And God knows best.

This article was written originally in Arabic and is translated using a 3rd party automated service. ArabiaWeather is not responsible for any grammatical errors whatsoever.
See More
Related News
How does negative news rob you of your peace of mind?

How does negative news rob you of your peace of mind?

Qatar: Closes its airspace and temporarily suspends air traffic in the country's airspace

Qatar: Closes its airspace and temporarily suspends air traffic in the country's airspace

Forty degrees Celsius is expected in the Jordan Valley and Aqaba on Wednesday, and normal summer weather is expected in the rest of the regions.

Forty degrees Celsius is expected in the Jordan Valley and Aqaba on Wednesday, and normal summer weather is expected in the rest of the regions.

A scorching air mass is positioned east of the Kingdom and is slowly moving west. Will it deepen significantly, causing a heat wave in the coming days?

A scorching air mass is positioned east of the Kingdom and is slowly moving west. Will it deepen significantly, causing a heat wave in the coming days?