Follow-up of weather models from now on the rush of cold air masses towards Eastern Europe is not feasible, the behavior must be taken from average models to predict the movement of these masses, especially the polarity.
The models still feel the presence of activity around the middle of the month (gradual escalating activity), so following the models from now to see the strength of the low is useless, and God knows that the country may be under the influence of a rainy depression around the middle of the month that may then develop to become cooler, God willing.
It is important to know this behavior from now on monitoring the North Atlantic oscillation, which is responsible for the rise and fall of pressures in the North Atlantic, and the movement of the Azores High in Central and Western Europe, taking into account the follow-up of pressures at the pole.
God knows best and highest
Luay Nasser - ArabiaWeather