The tropical system in the Arabian Sea is moving northward, away from the southern Arabian Peninsula.

Arab Weather – The latest numerical model outputs and Arab Weather analyses indicate that the tropical system in the Arabian Sea will continue to move northward over the coming days, with its direct and indirect effects remaining distant from the southern regions of the Arabian Peninsula, including the Sultanate of Oman and Yemen.

What prevents the tropical cyclone from reaching Oman and Yemen?

The main reason the tropical system's effects have not reached the southern Arabian Peninsula, including Oman and Yemen, is due to the influence of a subtropical high. This high acts as a barrier to the tropical system's westward advance, preventing it from reaching the southern coasts of the Arabian Peninsula. This limits its direct and indirect effects on these regions, maintaining atmospheric stability.

The tropical season in the Arabian Sea continues.

The tropical season in the Arabian Sea typically lasts until November, with weather conditions remaining favorable for tropical cyclone formation. However, the continuation of the season does not necessarily mean a direct impact on the southern Arabian Peninsula, as the extent of these cyclones' reach depends on their weather patterns and the subtropical high, which often limits their progress toward the southern coasts.

And God knows best.